CWS Bracketology
Syndicate Sports is getting into the bracketology business, starting with the Road to Omaha.
To determine the field, we used Warren Nolan and averaged the RPI and ELO rankings to establish the overall seeds. Any movement up or down a seed line was made to ensure that two teams of the same conference are not placed in the same regional, in accordance to NCAA rules.
The regions are sorted by the region they would face in the super regionals. For example, the No. 1 seed is paired with the No. 16 seed.
All team records are based on the completion of games on May 3. Teams underlined are the current projected automatic bid from their conference. Teams italicize have clinched the automatic bid from their conference.
Last Five Teams In
- Virginia Tech
- TCU
- Michigan
- Clemson
- LSU
First Five Teams Out
- East Carolina (29-19-1, 13-8 American)
- Mercer (35-13, 9-6 SoCon)
- Louisiana (30-18, 12-12 Sun Belt)
- Missouri State (27-17, 15-9 Conference USA)
- Pittsburgh (28-18, 10-14 ACC)
Los Angeles Regional (UCLA)
- #1 UCLA (43-4, 24-0) vs Fairleigh Dickinson (29-15-1, 22-5)
- Miami (33-14, 13-11) vs UCF (27-17, 15-9)
Both Miami and UCF fell down several spots on the overall seed list. The Hurricanes lost a weekend series to NC State, dropping the final two games. This is the first weekend series they dropped since falling to Duke in mid-March. UCF fell after dropping two of three to Arizona State and having to overcome a two-run deficit to Stetson (18-29).
Conway Regional
- #16 Coastal Carolina (33-14, 19-5) vs Cal Poly (27-19, 17-7)
- Wake Forest (32-17, 14-13) vs Saint Joseph’s (32-15, 22-2)
A dominate win against North Carolina helped Coastal Carolina regain hosting duties in this week’s bracketology.
The 12-2 victory was the largest margin of victory against UNC since the Chanticleers won 13-2 in 2015. Wake Forest rebounded with a sweep and Louisville to put the Demon Deacons just outside the top 16.
College Station Regional
- #8 Texas A&M (35-10, 15-8) vs Winthrop (30-18, 13-5)
- Nebraska (34-14, 17-7) vs Clemson (28-20, 8-16)
Nebraska had its worst weekend of the season since going 1-2 in the College Baseball Series in late February by getting swept by Ohio State. The Cornhuskers were outscored 19-5. Clemson re-entered the field after upsetting Boston College, winning two of three games.
Tallahassee Regional
- #9 Florida State (33-14, 15-9) vs North Florida (26-20, 17-7)
- West Virginia (31-12, 16-8) vs Kent State (35-11, 20-7)
Florida State returned to hosting duties after sweeping Pittsburgh and dominating South Florida midweek.
West Virginia jumped up eight spots on the Regional #2 line after dominating Kansas State at home, outscoring the Wildcats 29-7.
Auburn Regional
- #5 Auburn (32-14, 14-10) vs Bethune-Cookman (33-15, 19-5)
- Virginia (32-16, 12-12) vs UTSA (33-14, 15-6)
With East Carolina dropping out of the field, UTSA is the only American team in this week’s bracketology. The Roadrunners dominated Wichita State, sweeping the weekend series.
Gainesville Regional
- #12 Florida (31-17, 13-11) vs Oral Roberts (29-17, 19-3)
- Oregon (35-12, 17-7) vs Western Carolina (31-17, 12-6)
Since the NCAA Tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1999, Western Carolina has only made the tournament three times. The Catamounts have victories over Georgia and East Carolina, while sweeping Mercer in mid-April.
Oral Roberts has clinched the top seed in the Summit League conference tournament, currently seven games ahead of Omaha.
Chapel Hill Regional
- #4 North Carolina (37-9-1, 18-7) vs Wright State (22-22, 15-3)
- Cincinnati (32-17, 13-11) vs Kentucky (29-16, 11-13)
It was a tale of two games for North Carolina. On Tuesday, the Tar Heels gave up 10-plus runs in a loss for just the third time all season in a 12-2 defeat to Coastal Carolina. On Sunday, It was a run-rule non-conference victory over Duke. Kentucky took a weekend series over Tennessee, while Cincinnati extended its winning streak to five games after sweeping Houston.
Oxford Regional
- #13 Ole Miss (32-17, 12-12) vs St. John’s (26-21, 11-4)
- Southern Miss (34-14, 16-8) vs Campbell (33-14, 23-4)
St. John’s reclaimed the Big East auto-bid after taking two of three games from Creighton this past weekend. Southern Miss continues to keep pace with Coastal Carolina in the Sun Belt race.
Starkville Regional
- #6 Mississippi State (36-12, 14-10) vs Army (28-18, 17-9)
- Oklahoma State (31-17, 14-10) vs Virginia Tech (25-21, 13-14)
Oklahoma State completed its second conference series sweep last weekend, defeating TCU. Winning seven of their last games helped the Cowboys moved to a regional No. 2 seed.
Army clinched the No. 1 seed in the Patriot League with a series victory over rival Navy to end the regular season.
Athens Regional
- #11 Georgia (38-11, 18-6) vs SIU Edwardsville (27-21, 15-6)
- Jacksonville State (38-10, 20-4) vs UC Santa Barbara (30-15, 16-8)
SIU Edwardsville returns to the field after one week by reclaiming the Ohio Valley auto-bid. The Cougars ride a five-game winning streak into a weekend series against Eastern Illinois. Georgia continues to lead the SEC, having earned run-rule victories in three of its last seven games.
Austin Regional
- #3 Texas (35-10, 15-8) vs Niagara (22-16-1, 17-7)
- NC State (30-17, 12-12) vs Arizona State (33-15, 16-8)
Texas jumped North Carolina after taking two of three games against Mississippi State. NC State went from one of the last teams in last week to being a regional No. 2 seed. The Wolfpack took two of three against Miami and earned a run-rule victory over East Carolina. Niagara took two of three from Rider to overtake them in the standings, looking for just their second ever NCAA Tournament bid.
Corvallis Regional
- #14 Oregon State (36-11) vs San Diego State (30-18, 13-5)
- Oklahoma (30-16, 12-12) vs Gonzaga (28-17, 16-5)
Oregon State inability to schedule stronger opponents in the final month of the season is costing the Beavers in the seed line. A loss to UTRGV (RPI 100) and losing the series opener to Cal State Northridge (RPI 176) dropped them six spots. A weekend series loss to Florida dropped Oklahoma from hosting duties.
Tuscaloosa Regional
- #7 Alabama (32-16, 13-11) vs Binghamton (24-18, 13-5)
- Boston College (35-16, 17-10) vs TCU (29-18, 13-11)
A sweep of Vanderbilt helped Alabama move up on the seed line. TCU dropped to one of the final five teams in the field after being swept by Oklahoma State, snapping a seven-game winning streak. Boston College dropped several seeds after losing two of three to Clemson last weekend.
Lawrence Regional
- #10 Kansas (37-11, 20-4) vs Indiana State (26-21, 12-6)
- Tennessee (31-17, 11-13) vs Michigan (30-17, 15-9)
Kansas dropped to the No. 10 overall seed, despite sweeping Arizona (16-30) last weekend. Being dominated by Kentucky in the first two games of the series dropped Tennessee several spots. Michigan enters the field after sweeping Maryland last weekend.
Atlanta Regional
- #2 Georgia Tech (39-8, 19-5) vs Pennsylvania (20-20, 14-7)
- Liberty (35-13, 18-6) vs LSU (28-21, 9-15)
Liberty swept New Mexico State last weekend to stay within two games of Jacksonville State in the Conference USA standings. LSU joined the field this week, after sweeping South Carolina and defeating Southeastern Louisiana last Tuesday.
Los Angeles Regional (USC)
- #15 USC (37-12, 19-8) vs SE Louisiana (30-19, 18-9)
- Arkansas (32-17, 13-11) vs Tarleton (31-16, 11-4)
USC stayed at No. 15 this week after sweeping Rutgers, winning two games by run-rule. Arkansas took two of three from Ole Miss. Tarleton moved up to a regional No. 3 seed after sweeping Utah Tech in WAC play, while playing Texas A&M close in a 9-7 defeat.
Conference Breakdown
- SEC: 13
- ACC: 10
- Big 12: 7
- Big Ten: 5
- Conference USA: 2
- Big West: 2
- Sun Belt: 2
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